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Daily Forex Market Report 14-Nov-2022


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Daily Forex Market Report 14-Nov-2022: GBP rangebound against euro, speculation that USD has peaked

US Dollar back to August highs against Swiss franc and Japanese yen

After hitting three-month lows at the tail end of last week, the US Dollar Index gained ever so slightly once the Asia markets opened on Monday morning.

Traders are recalibrating their dollar sentiment following a surprise inflation reading last Thursday that saw the core rate coming in softer than expected.

DYX is currently priced at 106.36, and with little on the US economic calendar (save for a tense meeting between US president Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping later today), the index is expected to maintain low volatility levels.

GBP/USD pared back around 35 pip from Friday’s 10-week high this morning, but at US$1.176, the pair remains in a strong position relative to recent performance.

Will GBP/USD run on a dollar peak? – Source: capital.com text in bold__Will GBP/USD run on a dollar peak? – Source: capital.com

EUR/USD similarly dipped, but the pair remains fairly above parity at USD$1.032.

EUR/GBP is looking fairly rangebound at 87.6p, with a resistance point pegged to last-week’s high of 88.3p.

With the greenback substantially down against the Japanese yen (having retraced to August highs of 139.50) and the Swiss franc (also down to August highs of 94.62) speculation of a dollar peak is mounting.

We’ll find out as the week progresses.

How to manage FX Risk/Exposure?

Understanding your FX risk and exposure is paramount to your bottom line. At Currency Solutions our decicated team of experts can help you manage and understand you exposure or risk.

What does FX Risk/Exposure mean?

There are three types of foreign exchange exposure companies face:

  1. Economic exposure
  2. Conversion exposure
  3. Transaction exposure

In short, FX/forex (foreign Exchange) exposure means the risk that an individual or company takes when executing transactions in foreign currencies.

If a business is looking to make transactions globally or in multiple currencies, it's important that they first identify their exposure to risk in order to put a calculated risk management strategy in place.

FX Risk/Exposure Management - How does it work?

Volatile currency markets can have a huge impact on your profits.

Let say that you set a 2021 price for a product, bought in USD including a 5% profit margin, based on the exchange rate when the pound was strongest.

When the pound weakened, your profit margin would soon erode, and leave you with -2.5% profit - based on the same price, from stock bought at the dollar’s peak.

This fluctuation in price could force you to either absorb the loss or increase your prices, with the knock-on effect of untenable prices in your already competitive market.

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We know that it can be time-consuming and challenging to keep up with the innumerable ongoing events that continuously affect the global market mood.

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