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Daily Forex Market Report 18-Nov-2022


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Daily Forex Market Report 18-Nov-2022: GBP bounces back after autumn statement dip, US Dollar Index cedes ground

Euro gaining against greenback in anticipation for Largarde’s speech

Yesterday’s delayed autumn statement from UK chancellor Jeremy Hunt was backloaded with high-level stealth taxes yet “low of wealth-creation, piling more pressure on the UK’s 5.5 million small businesses, their employees and customers”.

That’s according to Martin McTague, chair of the Federation of Small Businesses.

UK 10-year gilts fell as a result, as buyers demanded higher yields going forward.

Cable immediately dipped to an intraday low of US$1.176, but the pound quickly recovered and at the time of writing, is changing hands at US$1.19.

Sterling adjusts to stealth tax-heavy autumn statement – Source: livecharts.co.uk GBP adjusts to stealth tax-heavy autumn statement – Source: livecharts.co.uk

Some of Sterling’s gains were to do with the relative weakness of the greenback, which has dropped 0.15% on the US Dollar Index to 106.120 in this morning’s Asia trading window.

The pound gained against the euro, with the EUR/GBP pair dropping 0.3% to 87.09p this morning.

On today’s economic calender, UK retail Sales decreased 6.1% year-on-year, marking the sixth consecutive month of falls as consumer demand declines in response to inflation.

European Central Bank president has a speech scheduled at 9.30am. Hawkish comments could bait the euro bulls and create upside potential against the US dollar.

EUR/USD has already made gains in today’s Asia session after recovering from yesterday’s intraday lows of US$1.030.

The pair added around 20 pips, bring the pair’s exchange price to US1.037.

How to manage FX Risk/Exposure?

Understanding your FX risk and exposure is paramount to your bottom line. At Currency Solutions our decicated team of experts can help you manage and understand you exposure or risk.

What does FX Risk/Exposure mean?

There are three types of foreign exchange exposure companies face:

  1. Economic exposure
  2. Conversion exposure
  3. Transaction exposure

In short, FX/forex (foreign Exchange) exposure means the risk that an individual or company takes when executing transactions in foreign currencies.

If a business is looking to make transactions globally or in multiple currencies, it's important that they first identify their exposure to risk in order to put a calculated risk management strategy in place.

FX Risk/Exposure Management - How does it work?

Volatile currency markets can have a huge impact on your profits.

Let say that you set a 2021 price for a product, bought in USD including a 5% profit margin, based on the exchange rate when the pound was strongest.

When the pound weakened, your profit margin would soon erode, and leave you with -2.5% profit - based on the same price, from stock bought at the dollar’s peak.

This fluctuation in price could force you to either absorb the loss or increase your prices, with the knock-on effect of untenable prices in your already competitive market.

We are a payment solutions provider with over 20 years’ experience and expertise in foreign exchange payments Our services inlcude but are not limited to:

  • Hedging and FX Strategies
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We know that it can be time-consuming and challenging to keep up with the innumerable ongoing events that continuously affect the global market mood.

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