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Daily Forex Report 01-Nov-2022


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Daily Forex Report 01-Nov-2022: GBP consolidates against USD, European hawks direct euro.

Rate hikes are here to stay as inflation hits the Eurozone

European Inflation isn’t slowing down any time soon. In fact, at 10.7%, September figures grew even higher than expected.

European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde has been vague about the bank’s interest rate plans, but investors expect the hawks to drive policy in the near future, if the rise in the EUR/USD pair is any indicator.

The pair dipped immediately another the announcement but has since added 0.4%, reaching just below parity at US$0.992 at the time of writing.

But some headwinds are expected in anticipation for the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision tomorrow, as hawkish confirmation will likely motivate what has been a softer US dollar of late.

EUR/GBP similarly dipped and recovered and remains relatively flat at 86.1p.

Sterling is currently swapping for 1.151 US dollars, with cable remaining compressed by the greenback’s continued strength among the G10 set.

Luckily the pair has a 3% boost achieved from a buoyant October behind it.

Cable’s strong October added 3% to the pair – Source: capital.com Cable’s strong October added 3% to the pair – Source: capital.com

Today’s UK house price data will be a significant pressure point for the pound though- The Nationwide House Price Index was up 7.2% year on year in October, the smallest increase since April of 2021 and slowing sharply from a 9.5% rise in September.

How to manage FX Risk/Exposure?

Understanding your FX risk and exposure is paramount to your bottom line. At Currency Solutions our decicated team of experts can help you manage and understand you exposure or risk.

What does FX Risk/Exposure mean?

There are three types of foreign exchange exposure companies face:

  1. Economic exposure
  2. Conversion exposure
  3. Transaction exposure

In short, FX/forex (foreign Exchange) exposure means the risk that an individual or company takes when executing transactions in foreign currencies.

If a business is looking to make transactions globally or in multiple currencies, it's important that they first identify their exposure to risk in order to put a calculated risk management strategy in place.

FX Risk/Exposure Management - How does it work?

Volatile currency markets can have a huge impact on your profits.

Let say that you set a 2021 price for a product, bought in USD including a 5% profit margin, based on the exchange rate when the pound was strongest.

When the pound weakened, your profit margin would soon erode, and leave you with -2.5% profit - based on the same price, from stock bought at the dollar’s peak.

This fluctuation in price could force you to either absorb the loss or increase your prices, with the knock-on effect of untenable prices in your already competitive market.

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We know that it can be time-consuming and challenging to keep up with the innumerable ongoing events that continuously affect the global market mood.

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