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Yen in focus


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Daily Forex Market Report 16-Jan-2023: Yen in focus, USD and GBP volumes dip

The Japanese yen is in the spotlight in anticipation of Wednesday’s central bank meeting.

Having made indications of monetary policy tightening at the December meeting after a multi-decade hands-off approach, investors are pondering whether the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will again let its bond market peg go higher.

Citibank strategist Ebrahim Rahbari called another policy change “likely” despite sellers testing the Bank of Japan’s mettle by pushing yields up in December.

The yen surged against the greenback at the end of last week but has since calmed down; though USD/JPY remains near nine-month lows of 128.04.

Volatility has been low across the other majors, mainly due to the closed US markets for Martin Luther King Day. GBP/USD remains ranged between 1.22 and 1.23, while EUR/USD is changing hands at 1.083, having closed fewer than 10 pips lower on Sunday.

Cable falls back on GDP contraction – Source: capital.com Cable falls back on GDP contraction – Source: capital.com

With the World Economic Forum shindig kicking off in Davos today, the world’s financial elite likely have Après-Ski on their minds too.

Price action could pick up in the following two days for Cable, given tomorrow’s UK employment data read and Wednesday’s UK year-on-year inflation rate, which is still expected to remain in the double digits.

EUR/GBP has remained pinned to 88.55p since closing 0.4% lower on Friday.

What does FX Risk/Exposure mean?

There are three types of foreign exchange exposure companies face:

  1. Economic exposure
  2. Conversion exposure
  3. Transaction exposure

In short, FX/forex (foreign Exchange) exposure means the risk that an individual or company takes when executing transactions in foreign currencies.

If a business is looking to make transactions globally or in multiple currencies, it's important that they first identify their exposure to risk in order to put a calculated risk management strategy in place.

FX Risk/Exposure Management - How does it work?

Volatile currency markets can have a huge impact on your profits.

Let say that you set a 2021 price for a product, bought in USD including a 5% profit margin, based on the exchange rate when the pound was strongest.

When the pound weakened, your profit margin would soon erode, and leave you with -2.5% profit - based on the same price, from stock bought at the dollar’s peak.

This fluctuation in price could force you to either absorb the loss or increase your prices, with the knock-on effect of untenable prices in your already competitive market.

We are a payment solutions provider with over 20 years’ experience and expertise in foreign exchange payments Our services inlcude but are not limited to:

  • Hedging and FX Strategies
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We know that it can be time-consuming and challenging to keep up with the innumerable ongoing events that continuously affect the global market mood.

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